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Publications From Outbreak to Endemicity or Control: Tracking First Passage Time in Infectious Diseases. Accepted in Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, (2026). Statistical Analysis of Stationary and Transition Probability Densities for Atmospheric Forcing in a Climate Change Model. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 40(22), (2026). Stochastic Modeling and First-Passage-Time Analysis of Oncological Time Metrics with Dynamic Tumor Barriers. Scientific Reports, 15-14941, 2025. Transition probability density function for number of infections in a population satisfying a stochastic SIS-epidemic model. Applied Mathematical Analysis and Computations II. Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics 471 & 472, 2024. Tumor growth and population modeling in a toxicant-stressed random environment. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 88:18, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00285-023-02035-y Analysis of the impact of treatments on HIV/AIDS and Tuberculosis co-infected population under random perturbations. Infectious Disease Modelling, Volume 9, Issue 1, 2024, pp 27-55 Vaccine breakthrough and rebound infections modeling: Analysis for the United States and the ten U.S. HHS regions. Infectious Disease Modeling, Volume 8, Issue 3, September 2023, Pages 717-741. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2023.05.010 Analysis and dynamics of measles with control strategies: a mathematical modeling approach. Int. J. Dynam. Control 11, 2538-2552 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40435-022-01105-1 Nowcasting of Short-Run Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate with Economic Fundamentals and Time-Varying Parameters. Finance Research Letters, 52 (2023), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.103571 Stochastic modeling and forecasting of Covid-19 deaths: Analysis for the fifty states in the United States. Acta Biotheoretica, 70:25 (2022), doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10441-022-09449-z Analysis of multi-strain infection of vaccinated and recovered population through epidemic model: Application to COVID-19. PLOS ONE, 17(7), (2022), e0271446 Estimation of epidemiological parameters for COVID-19 cases using a stochastic SEIRS epidemic model with vital dynamics. Results in Physics, 28, (2021), 104664, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104664 Time-dependent probability distribution for number of infection in a stochastic SIS model: case study COVID-19. Chaos, Solitons and Fractals, 147, (2021), 110983, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2021.110983 Time-dependent probability density function for general stochastic logistic population model with harvesting effort. Physica A, 573(1) (2021), 125931 Two-Scale Network Dynamic Model for Energy Commodity Processes. Journal of Energy, (2020), Volume 2020 Article ID 2075258 pp 1-59 Qualitative analysis of a stochastic SEITR epidemic model with multiple stages of infection and treatment. Journal of Infectious Disease Modelling, (2020) vol 5, pp 61-90 Closed-form probability distribution of number of infections at a given time in a stochastic SIS epidemic model. Heliyon, (2019) 5(9) Parameter identification for a stochastic SEIRS epidemic model: case study influenza. Journal of Mathematical Biology, (2019) 79(2), 705-729 Local Lagged Adapted Generalized Method of Moments: An Innovative Estimation and Forecasting Approach and its Applications. Journal of Time Series Econometrics, (2019) Volume 11, Issue 1, 20160024, ISSN (Online) 1941-1928, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/jtse-2016-0024. Global stability for a (2n+1)- dimensional HIV/AIDS epidemic model with treatments. Journal of Mathematical Biosciences, (2018) Vol. 299 pp. 138-152; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2018.03.013. Time varying parameter estimation scheme for a linear stochastic differential equation. International Journal of Statistics and Probability, Vol. 6(50, (2017), pp 84-100 ,doi: https://doi.org/10.5539/ijsp.v6n5p84. Global Stability of Nonlinear Stochastic SEI Epidemic Model. International Journal of Stochastic Analysis, Vol. 2017, (2017), 1-7, Article ID 6313620, 1-7, doi:10.1155/2017/6313620. Local Lagged Adapted Generalized Method of Moments and Applications. Journal of Stochastic Analysis and Applications, Vol. 35(1), (2016), 1-34. Second Order State and Covariance Estimation for Nonlinear Stochastic Systems Journal of Neural, Parallel and Scientific Computation, Vol. 22, (2014), 89-126. Stochastic Modeling of Energy Commodity Spot Price Processes with Delay in Volatility American International Journal of Contemporary Research, 2014, Vol. 4, No. 5 pp 1-20 Positive Solutions of Boundary Value Dynamic Equations American Review of Mathematics and Statistics, 2014, Vol. 2, No. 2, pp 1-16 © Otunuga 2026 Updated On: March 2026